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Best NFL Bets for Week 13: Data-Driven NFL Parlay Picks

As we head into Week 13 of the NFL season, playoff races are heating up, and key matchups present valuable betting opportunities. In this preview, we’ll take a closer look at some of the top picks and a parlay suggestion to help you navigate the weekend’s games with confidence.

Cincinnati Bengals ML -162

I’ve written a few times in this article about motivation and how to approach that late in the season. Sure, every NFL team is motivated to play every weekend with some of their jobs on the line but there are teams that have more to play for than others. Both of these teams are fighting for the play-offs, with the Steelers holding onto a spot currently and the Bengals on the outside looking in. Cincinnati still has a chance to sneak in, but they essentially need to win out. The good news for them, they will be favored in every remaining game and catch the Steelers here at home. Overall, I think the Bengals found their bye week at the right time last week and could rest up and prepare for this stretch run. 

Joe Burrow 200+ Passing Yards 

Correlating with the Bengals to win this game, if they do so they’re going to need a big game from Joe Burrow. Pittsburgh has a strong defense, but anything the Bengals do is going to come on the back of Burrow for the remainder of the season. He’s topped 200+ passing yards in all but two games since the start of the season and he’s crushed this number in his last two match-ups with Pittsburgh. Both Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase are healthy and ready to go, and I fully am expecting a statement game from the Bengals to save their season on Sunday. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML -250

Tampa has the biggest gap of all the road teams this week per our Survivor Pool Dataspace as they match up with the Carolina Panthers. Bryce Young has looked like an actual NFL QB since returning from his benching, but that doesn’t change the fact that this is a bad overall team especially on defense. Tampa holds a huge gap in Yards per Play – coming in with a mark of 5.95 compared to the Panthers 4.99. Tampa also received reinforcements over the bye week on offense, with star WR Mike Evans back healthy. We have seen the emergence of Bucky Irving in recent weeks as well, with him running for 88 yards and a touchdown on just 12 carries a week ago. He could be a huge factor here, with the Panthers allowing the second-most rushing yards in the NFL. As noted above, I don’t typically like to pick on divisional match-ups late in the season, but I’m willing to make another exception here. 

3 Leg Parlay +154

Written by Ben Hossler